America Is No Angel
There’s a problem in the United States now and it stems from an unrealistic attempt to please the crowds with some notion of having the moral high ground, as if Washington is a do-gooder, saving the world from evil, but those tactics are costing America a lot, in real terms.
The United States’ sanctions regime, which it uses across the globe, not just against Russia, has mostly failed and only served to distance the sanctioned from using the dollar, and China has welcomed the sanctioned party into its arms.
Turkey’s Erdogan just won the election for the millionth time with the campaign platform that he won’t take the bait of the West and borrow funds from the IMF, and that Biden doesn’t tell him what to do.
Iran has virtually achieved full nuclear capabilities, defying American sanctions and Washington’s threats.
Syria’s Assad has been able to remain in power and, in Yemen, Iran’s interests are winning over the West.
Hating America is now well more than just burning flags; it is fueling dictatorships to remain as such, with leaders promising not to succumb to America as a slogan.
It’s becoming a very popular political mantra to help win elections in the Middle East and, I’m certain, will soon be the same in Asia.
The strategy is simple; occupy the time and resources of the American army in the Middle East, so they can’t be focused solely on the South China Sea, which means that the alliance with Japan has become a lot more important. This explains why their stock market is already rallying to a 30-yr high and why growth has come back to the forgotten country.
Globalism of the Petrodollar is dead.
This has far-reaching implications, not the least of which is that seamless supply chains, which have been in place since the fall of the Soviet Union, with all of the cheap labor and the discounted commodities it provided, is over.
Courtesy: Incrementum AG
In the decade of the 2000s, China’s rise, along with the Euro’s strength, propelled commodities higher, but then came the deflationary era of zero rates and gold and its derivatives fell sharply.
The pandemic shook things up in an irreversible fashion.
It made countries think again about the way they operate, since everything stopped in the world.
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The crisis opened up the door for countries to reorganize their affairs; many realized that America isn’t their best ally anymore and that they need regional relationships, not just a master-key, in the form of the United States.
Biden needs to understand that Washington’s current policies are hurting the projection of power to the rest of the world.
This means that in the coming years more central banks will sell dollars, in favor of gold:
Courtesy: Incrementum AG
Once central banks are in position, they’ll see to it that the world knows they’re rejecting financing America’s debt as a given, and will demand Washington shows progress on balancing their books.
You’re not going to like this, and I think that with the summer seasonality of weakness in housing, the recession in real estate will impact the second half of 2023 around the world, if rates aren’t cut!
Drama is coming.
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