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Yesterday, for the first time since the BACK-AND-FORTH between bulls and bears began, we saw real ANIMAL SPIRITS, not just stocks rising on no volume and computers doing the heavy lifting, as we’ve seen for weeks; the BULLS WANTED IN this time.
Fortunately, we issued our WATCH LIST, so the opportunities were RIGHT THERE for the taking, had one waited and JUMPED ON THEM when the time was right.
This is what we said on American Express: “Right now, one of America’s strongest brands is SUFFERING. The price of the company’s shares has plummeted from $136 to $68, which is more than a 50% decline. Following the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, this stock has returned over 1,000%, NOT INCLUDING dividends, so AXP is definitely cyclical, being that it is leveraged to the consumer and shopping. We might not see $68 again unless this REOPENING goes extremely badly, but at between $76 and $78, I’m personally a buyer.”
Just a couple trading sessions ago, my limit order FILLED. The position is already up more than 12%, since Thursday.
Next, we said this on UGI Corporation: “This is a utility company that owns SOME SERIOUSLY stable and long-term natural gas and electric power distribution contracts. It’s been around since 1882 and its stock price has been STALE, LIKE A ROCK, until COVID-19 came along. In fact, it has been quietly making shareholders richer for decades. The price has fallen by 50% because of what’s happening, which makes their 4.72% dividend yield a viable alternative for passive income. This company, unlike many boring utility providers, also has a hungry CEO that is looking for growth opportunities. My limit order is set for $26.”
Today, UGI is trading over $31/share, up close to +14%.
There are a number of additional WINNING POSITIONS, the largest of which is Leggett & Platt, which is up more than 22% in just a few days, when the order filled.
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Inside the report, there is currently one company that is within its buy range: Travelers (an insurance giant). The whole insurance industry is COMING UNDER FIRE by zero interest rates, but they will prevail.
As you can see, by 2014, FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS had had just about enough of Treasury bonds. The trend changed from mostly buying to mostly DUMPING.
I’m not calling for a dollar BEAR MARKET against fiat currencies, but clearly it is Armageddon, when viewed through the lens of ounces of gold. The conditions that create cyclical dollar bears are NOT HERE YET, but they’re getting close. For example, from the standpoint of interest rates spread, the dollar yields close to what other major currencies are yielding. The gap is narrowing.
What’s MISSING is to see emerging markets, China, Europe or Japan, growing faster than America, but we’re not there at all. The dollar will continue to bid.
LARGER DEFICITS also instigate USD bear markets; we’re definitely seeing signs that Washington is headed to RED FLAG TERRITORY, when it comes to that.
That’s the thing, though – while dollars are still LOVED, gold is making its move!
This is how strong the surge has been; my take on this is that precious metals will continue TRENDING UPWARDS, along with the dollar, if need be.
The reason is that gold is now becoming MUST-OWN for more institutions, with gold stocks performing at their PEAK CAPACITY.
What a great time to be investing.
Research Partner, PortfolioWealthGlobal.com
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