The Pivot Is Coming
If you believe in ingenuity and free enterprise, then you believe in solving problems and the ability to overcome obstacles by making business arrangements.
I sure do. Looking at just the advances made in the past year throughout the world, I’m left here with my mouth open. Humans, using relationships, networking and ideas can overcome anything.
One thing that we’re all trying to solve is the inflationary environment we find ourselves in, where prices keep rising, making life uncomfortable.
The market is past debating the nature of the inflation we’re facing. There are those who initially speculated that persistent or structural, longer-lasting inflation was coming into fruition, and now Bank of America’s inflation meter is showing us that this is as bad as it gets.
In other words, everyone knows inflation is an issue and we all understand that it must be addressed, but what will probably happen first is that transitory inflation will subside, but the components that comprise persistent inflation will be harder to dissolve.
Rents, wages and certain goods and services don’t have any visible reason to change course and come back down.
It’s extremely rare to see a situation in which both the transitory and the sticky inflation gauges are maxed.
Study what you’re going through now; take it all in, because this is what peak inflation feels like!
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Could the level of inflation rise further? It might, but I would keep in mind that the FED hasn’t even begun to raise rates, so it could easily be contained better by hiking.
As you can see, for both to be high simultaneously, you have to go back to 1995.
What does all of this mean?
For one, it means that you have a real chance at landing a dream job; don’t be naïve or innocent about it! Time to pound!
Secondly, it means that consumer items are as expensive as they’ll get or right around those prices, so if you want to delay purchases, next year will see many sales!
Third, it means that stocks and real estate have so much more to run, in general.
Rising wages contributes to housing, and a stronger consumer contributes to corporations.
My biggest fear is that because inflation is so high and so visible, any Black Swan event will be devastating in ways you won’t even imagine.
In your personal, this is a time for saving.
In your investment portfolio, buy the dips. This is not a time to just waltz into stocks, disregarding the enormous gains of the past 18 months.
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Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
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