Recession, Interest Rates,
Options Expiration, Russia vs. Ukraine
This past week was so bad that political sites now forecast that Donald Trump is more popular than Biden!
In order to really understand how badly markets performed, I want to point out to you that this behavior has only been seen in the worst of the worst of times!
In fact, during the week, I was texting my business partner that I don’t remember ever seeing it this bad when it comes to intra-day swings, and these charts show that my suspicions were true — this week’s volatility was unprecedented:
The warning signs were all there throughout 2021, but for this to happen all at once, with the worst January in stock market history, is beyond belief.
The Russell 2000, for example, which reflects the state of the domestic economy more than the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100 do (since the companies in it are far less multinational and derive their growth from the national economy), is in a BEAR MARKET.
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The problem is that the markets are freaking out mostly because it is believed that Biden’s administration is not in tune with what’s going on.
Wall Street doesn’t have faith that Biden can really turn things around and I’m telling you that the polls indicate the same:
America is absolutely changing right now. I mean, inflation has become such a big issue, such a systemic societal problem that the polls favor Trump, who was miles behind a year ago!
This is what inflation has caused; it has touched every American and it’s not just that, but the handling of the healthcare crisis has also caused many to question the administration:
These signals should tell you that Washington is freaking out right now, which is usually when relief comes to markets!
As I said on Friday and Saturday, we really want to profile a potential bounce trade candidate with significant upside, but we don’t want to walk into a burning house, so we’re going to monitor the market open in Asia (Japan and China), as well as Europe (Germany, France and UK) and the futures in the U.S., before we can be certain about timing.
Keep in mind that Powell is speaking this week and I’m sure he will want to smooth things over!
Americans are fed up with inflation and Wall Street is afraid of aggressive policies; who will win?
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Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
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