Regional Implications and
the Chaos Awaiting Neighbors
Most Americans won’t be interested in the least with the content that I’m about to share with you, but those who are fascinated with geopolitics will ABSOLUTELY love it, because, as Donald Trump says, the Middle East is the key to the future of the planet.
After Israel checkmated Iran’s stranglehold in what can only be described as the most successful war strategy in the history of the region, better than those of Alexander the Great, Cyrus the Persian or Roman Caesars, is peace the next phase?
It’s not that simple, so I have created a breakdown of the various players in this theater.
Iran’s collapse is sending shockwaves across the Middle East, threatening chaos for nations like Turkey, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan.
These countries, once emboldened by Iran’s Islamist axis, now face existential challenges as Israel’s dominance reshapes the region.
- Turkey: It fears a Kurdish resurgence, especially after its Syrian campaign, aimed to suppress them.
Iran’s fall, potentially liberating its minorities, could destabilize Turkey’s border regions, undermining President Erdoğan’s Islamist vision. A weakened Iran signals the failure of political Islamism, a blow to Ankara’s ambitions. Remember, 25% of Muslims are loyal to the Muslim Brotherhood, which Turkey’s leadership is aligned with.
- Qatar: A pariah in the Gulf, loses its leverage without Iran’s backing. Its role as a meddler, protected by U.S. bases, crumbles as Arab states, emboldened by Iran’s defeat, may “finish” Qatar.
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The 2017 Saudi-led sanctions foreshadow this fate, as Qatar’s small size and lack of allies leave it vulnerable. Tucker may lose his paycheck, as well as many Ivy League schools.
- Egypt: This failing country relied on Gaza as an Iranian proxy, facilitated by Sinai smuggling.
Without Iran, Egypt’s strategic position weakens against Saudi Arabia, and its military, dependent on smuggling revenue, faces economic strain.
The loss of the Iran-Hamas connection disrupts Cairo’s regional influence. It doesn’t help that they refused to come to the White House and purchased Chinese military equipment.
- Saudi Arabia: Despite benefiting politically from Iran’s fall, it faces internal rifts.
Controlling Mecca gives it symbolic power, but normalization with Israel divides its society.
The kingdom’s mediocre military fears uncertainty, preferring minimal normalization, which will come in the form of trade routes, railways and such, over full peace.
The broader Islamic world must confront the end of its narrative that it can, somehow, defeat Israel, because reality is that Israel, at its choosing, can do away with ANY COUNTRY in the region.
These nations face a stark choice: normalize with Israel or weaken on the global stage and be humiliated.
In 1979, when the Ayatollahs rose to power in Iran, they united the Muslims around the religious idea that Muhamed can only be satisfied if Israel is destroyed. The narrative captivated the masses, but reality has proven this fantasy to be stupid and foolish.
The region’s chaos—minority rebellions, shifting alliances—mirrors the post-Soviet Union fallout, where hopes of peace proved illusory.
Each of these have made their bed and must now face the consequences of their actions. It must be this way, if the world ever hopes they learn their lesson: terror is a dead end.
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