This is a Big One
I’m tackling an important subject today, one that will be a constant in our lives, for the foreseeable future and it won’t be easy for many to accept, but it’s so critical to how you should view the world that I must write about it.
In the past 30 years, in the Western world, throughout Europe and also in the United States, the political class’s tolerance for volatility and subjugation of the public to tough love has shrunk to a bare minimum.
Strengthening the overall condition of the country, by going through real reforms that take time and include pain, has been replaced with the path of least resistance.
After 2008, this methodology even received the term: “Kicking the Can down the road.”
The Chinese, the Russians, the Qataris and the Iranians, have studied this weakness, later defined as appeasement or making concessions, as a form of weakness.
In the end, what is the trade-off that is being made?
The administration is willing to accept a less-than-ideal solution to a problem, because the public’s willingness to go along with it, is bearable.
What’s changed since 2020 is that a person of historic consequence, who is willing to take on the task of dealing with the most momentous, realized that within his own country there is a threat, just as big as those that are foreign and stated and that is the unchecked bureaucracy that has been usurping the power for the executive branch.
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Enemies of the West saw this degradation of the integrity of the people and infiltrated with the strategy of unconventional warfare, focusing on appealing to Western leaders in requests for wiggle room, for the sake of peace or humanity.
The enemy did not see this as noble or generous, but as a sign that in front of them stands a person with zero loyalty to his nationality, with no accountability for the voter and with a weak vision of the ramifications of his actions for future generations.
Along comes Donald Trump and reads the enemy like an open book.
To him, it’s either America that weakens or the other side — there is no such thing as appeasing for the sake of giving the opponent a reason to like you.
Would you ever in your life see a boxer that is much stronger than its rival, give a way in, so that’d be friends after the fight?
Trump is willing to be patient and to endure the political cost of holding strong and not succumbing, when markets tank, or recession odds rise, or his popularity temporarily wanes, because he understands that is what the Chinese are banking on.
Therefore, Trump and Bessent can’t and won’t panic or fold.
This means that Trump will give Powell a way to justify rate cuts, so that Powell doesn’t appear to be doing Trump’s bidding, but the cuts are coming.
Silver will rocket higher when markets fully realize interest rates are heading down.
Right now, the markets see the first cut in July.
That’s when we should begin expecting fireworks, if my thesis holds.
Best Regards,
PortfolioWealthGlobal.com
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